West Ham v Stoke City – A betting guide

Aug 30, 2013

Categories: Opinion

Tags: Andy Carroll, anytime goalscorer, Boleyn Ground, first goalscorer, James Collins, Kevin Nolan, last goalscorer, Matt Jarvis, Premier League, Ravel Morrison, Stewart Downing, Stoke City, Upton Park, West Ham United

The key stats head of Saturday’s Premier League meeting with Stoke City at Upton Park…

West Ham have won 50%, drawn 30% and lost 20% of their last 20 home games.
West Ham last failed to score at home 3 games ago.
The Hammers have has scored in 90% of their last 20 home games.
West Ham have scored first in 60% of their last 20 home games.
In their last 20 home games, 28% of the 36 goals scored by West Ham have come from forwards, 61% from midfielders and 8% from defenders.
In their last 20 home games, 32% of the 22 goals conceded by West Ham have come from forwards, 55% from midfielders and 9% from defenders.

First Goalscorer?

We had a winner during the week for anyone who took the 5/4 on Ravel Morrison to score anytime.

Looking at first goal, we will continue to pick from our midfield for this bet as the stats show 35% of our goals have come from there in the last 20 home games.

And three games in to the season we have had Joe Cole, Kevin Nolan and Morrison scoring already. So, with the continued absence of Andy Carroll, it’s one of four Players for first or last goal

As we try to guess who starts – it should be Stewart Downing and Matt Jarvis – we can presume a lot of chances are going to come from them, which leaves us with our two central midfielders. Nolan again looks a great bet 13/2 – 7/1 Paddy Power, Coral and most other layers for first or last goal.

But maybe it’s time the defence got on to some of those crosses and corners and, if you fancy that to happen on Saturday, James Collins to score first or last at 33/1 with BoyleSports is tasty odds.

Correct Score?

For a correct score, 1-0 seems to be the one that stands out as West Ham have scored exactly 1 goal in 35% of their last 20 home games. That scoreline is 11/2 with most layers.

Finally, our defence has held strong up to now and 2/1 for West Ham to win and keep a clean sheet might be a good bet to consider for the multiple bets.

This week’s recommendation?

Nolan first or last goalscorer at 13/2 with most layers
West Ham to win 1-0 is 11/2-6/1 Betfred, Coral, Skybet and BoyleSports
West Ham to win and keep a clean sheet is 2/1 for the Accumulators or Yankees

Good luck and, remember, don’t let the Claret & Blue heart rule the head. It’s a long season.

Let us know how your bets are going or what you recommend by commenting in the comments section below or get in touch with us on Facebook or Twitter.