Two weeks ago we had a go at predicting the final six gameweeks of the Premier League season.
Since then, the relegation race has intensified further, with Spurs still trailing West Ham by two points. With four games left to play, it’s still so hard to call what’s actually going to happen.
Today we’re revisiting the two gameweeks which have passed since that first prediction, to see how accurate we were and how that affects the final run-in.
What’s happened in gameweeks 33 and 34 might also sway our original predictions, based on form, performances and momentum. As we know, results at this stage of the season can help kickstart a run of form which can secure survival, or they can lead to a complete collapse.
There’s still much to play for, so much on the line, and no one knows how it’s going to play out.
Predictions so far…
In gameweek 33, we predicted Leeds to beat Wolves, Tottenham to draw with Brighton, Nottingham Forest to beat Burnley and West Ham to take a point from Crystal Palace. We were bang on with all of those predictions, which is the perfect start.
Gameweek 34’s predictions were also perfect, but not quite. We had Nottingham Forest down to lose at Sunderland, but they ran out convincing 5-0 winners in that fixture. Leeds drew at Bournemouth, despite us predicting a defeat for Daniel Farke’s side. But West Ham and Spurs beat Everton and Wolves respectively, which is exactly what we predicted would happen.
So, at this stage, Forest are three points better off than we predicted and Leeds are one point better off. As a result, in the real world, many believe Leeds are all but safe and Forest could probably get away with winning just one more game to get over the line.
So, how have the past two weeks affected our predictions for the remaining four?
Gameweek 35
The only changes here are West Ham and Tottenham turning defeats in to away draws.
West Ham have real momentum, with the last minute win over Everton last weekend likely giving the squad a lot of confidence as they head to Brentford. The Bees have lost just one of their last seven games, although they drew five games in a row during that period, making it six games without a win. Are they running out of steam in their attempts to qualify for Europe? As a result, I can see West Ham taking a point away from the Gtech Community Stadium.
Meanwhile, Spurs picked up their first win of 2026 under Roberto De Zerbi last weekend and while it was tense, and while they have fresh injury concerns before making the trip to Villa Park, a win will give them confidence, too.
So instead, Spurs could plausibly take a point this weekend, which would match West Ham’s result for a third consecutive weekend.
Gameweek 36
I’ve predicted no change in any of the results for gameweek 36.
The only one that could see a different result is Leeds’ trip to Tottenham, especially if Spurs go into that one having taken something from Villa Park the week before.
However, if predictions are correct up to this point, Leeds will need only a point in this game to guarantee their Premier League survival, which will give them a lot of incentive in a ground where Spurs haven’t won in the Premier League since early December and only twice all season.
West Ham will likely lose at home to Arsenal, despite many thinking it would be typical for the Hammers to put the final nail in the Gunners’ title hopes. But I’m trying to remain realistic here…
Of course, this means Spurs have reduced the gap between them and West Ham to just a single point and the relegation race gets even more tense.
Leeds are safe, and Forest’s four-point cushion over Tottenham looks all but enough to keep them up.
Gameweek 37
No change in the predictions once again.
Tottenham travel to Chelsea and perhaps I would’ve predicted something better than a defeat had the Blues not sacked Liam Rosenior last week. They beat Leeds in the FA Cup semi-final last weekend and still have a chance of qualifying for Europe and will need a result here. Meanwhile, Spurs have won once at Stamford Bridge in the Premier League era – it has never been a happy hunting ground for them.
Newcastle’s season is in free fall. They’ve lost five in a row and, if predictions are correct, they’ll have gone seven games without a win by this stage. They’re safe by this point, so the pressure will be off, while West Ham will be desperate for a result. A draw seems like a very realistic result here, taking everything into account.
If that happens, West Ham’s advantage over Tottenham is extended to two points once again, making the final weekend of the season incredibly tense.
It’ll be a straight shootout between the Hammers and Spurs, with Nuno Espirito Santo‘s side needing to win to guarantee survival. If they fail to win, they’ll need Spurs to do the same…
Gameweek 38
Once again, no change in predictions here and that’s purely because how the other teams need results for their own ambitions to become reality on the final day.
Heading into this one Everton still have an outside chance of qualifying for Europe but will need all three points at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and other results to go their way for that to happen. Spurs, of course, also need to win, and they’ll end up playing out a frantic draw which benefits neither side.
Meanwhile, at London Stadium, West Ham will know three points will guarantee survival regardless, while Leeds have nothing to play for. They’re on the beach. A tense home crowd gets behind the team but it remains a close encounter, with West Ham eventually getting a breakthrough and edging a narrow but historic victory.
Final Predicted Premier League Table
The overall outcome is the same as my previous predictions, with Spurs being relegated from the Premier League for the first ever time.
But in the original final predicted table, they miss out by just two points, with West Ham eventually leapfrogging Nottingham Forest.
Forest’s win at Sunderland last weekend means that it is unlikely to happen now, and despite a slight improvement in form, Spurs could go down by finishing four points from safety and behind West Ham.
The rest of the country is delighted, obviously. Fingers crossed!
