Crystal Palace visit the Boleyn Ground for the last ever time on Saturday.
On paper we should be preparing for another three points at home and moving a step closer to an incredible top four finish, but we all know it doesn’t quite work like that.
However, there are a number of factors surrounding today’s game that point in our favour. Here are just a few…
- We’re unbeaten in 12 successive Premier League home games (W7, D5), our best run since a 14-match streak in 1997/98.
- Palace are the only side in the top seven tiers of English football without a league win in 2016.
- Pardew’s side have won just one of their six Premier League London derbies this season, losing the other five.
- And Palace have given away more fouls than anyone else in the Premier League this season, averaging 12.6 per game.
So that last stat is the one that caught my eye the most. We all know how deadly Dimitri Payet is at free-kicks and he’s proved against Man United and Russia (for France) that range/distance doesn’t put him off – he’ll hit them from anywhere and still find the back of the net. Hopefully we can play to Palace’s ill-discipline and force a few of these situations on Saturday.
Elsewhere, the below infographics provided by KickOff, who offer a range of football betting tips and predictions, further back up our chances of victory.
Our recent meetings against Palace at home have seen a mixed bag of results…
And if you’re betting on the match then make sure you consult the infographic below first. According to KickOff, we have a 63% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-0.
Additionally, if you enjoy the Both Teams To Score market then you’d probably be better off avoiding this one – KickOff give this fixture a 45% chance of both teams scoring.
And finally, if you love a first goal scorer bet then look to our midfielders for inspiration – 32% of our opening goals this season have come from midfield. No surprise there.